Risk-informed design of solar chimney power plants: Quantifying and prioritizing uncertainty sources in solar thermal energy conversion

Summary

Uses Sobol' global sensitivity analysis on 22 inputs of a solar chimney power plant, comparing a lumped analytical model with a higher-fidelity hybrid model, both validated on the Manzanares prototype. Cover transmissivity dominates output uncertainty, while the simpler model overstates an empirical heat-loss coefficient; reducing uncertainty in three parameters cuts output variance by about 40%.

Description written by Solar Tower. The original abstract is available from the publisher via the link below.